A report by Nuvama Wealth Management said cement prices in India could rise by the end of March or early April 2026 as producers face higher input costs linked to crude oil. The report identified rising petroleum coke and packaging material costs as principal drivers of upward pressure on production expenses. Petroleum coke, a fuel used in cement manufacturing, rose by about 13 per tonne (t) in US dollar terms in February 2026, a change that could be passed on to buyers. Producers may adjust prices later in the quarter to protect margins.

Cement demand remained stable during February and March 2026, supported by ongoing construction and infrastructure activity, and earlier price increases on non-trade sales were largely reversed by the end of February. Retail prices remained broadly steady through March in most regions. The persistence of demand may allow firms to manage price adjustments rather than apply uniform increases. Market responses will vary by region and logistical cost pressures.

Nuvama said that stock performance of cement companies will likely be influenced by the path of cement prices and petroleum coke costs in the coming weeks. Rising input costs including crude linked fuels and packaging may squeeze profit margins and prompt firms to monitor pricing and demand closely. The balance between input inflation and end demand will determine whether companies absorb costs or transfer them to customers. Analysts will watch forthcoming quarterly results for evidence of margin pressure or successful cost pass through.

Government capital expenditure showed moderation, with overall capex declining 24 per cent year-on-year to around Rs 2 trillion (Rs 2 tn) in January 2026 and cumulative capex from April 2025 to January 2026 at about Rs 20 trillion (Rs 20 tn), up eight per cent year-on-year. The report noted that real estate launches fell 44 per cent year-on-year in January 2026, and overall healthy demand could still be offset by rising crude linked input costs that may push cement prices higher by late March or early April 2026.