India is projected to add 652 thousand barrels per day (b/d) of refining capacity by the end of 2027, increasing total capacity from 5,282 thousand b/d in March 2025 to 5,935 thousand b/d, according to energy intelligence firm Kpler.

The increase will come from a series of greenfield and brownfield projects, excluding the Vizag refinery upgrade. However, the report cautioned that the complexity and scale of these expansions require close monitoring.

Kpler pointed to global examples such as Al Zour, Jizan, Dos Bocas, and Dangote — all of which faced delays in mechanical commissioning and startup — to highlight the risks involved in executing large-scale refinery projects.

While India’s timeline appears optimistic, the firm urged a cautious approach, stating that even well-planned projects often encounter unforeseen delays. The expansion drive aligns with India’s long-term strategy to meet growing domestic fuel demand and strengthen its role as a key exporter of refined petroleum products.

Industry observers say project management, supply chain coordination, and regulatory clearances will be crucial for timely delivery and operational efficiency.

Source: The Hindu BusinessLine