NITI Aayog Releases Reports On Viksit Bharat And Net Zero
The studies find that electrification, circularity and energy efficiency could lower final energy demand by 20 per cent by 2070 while coal consumption is likely to rise until 2047 even under Net Zero pathways. Electricity’s share of final energy could increase from 21 per cent in 2025 to as high as 60 per cent in 2070, and non?fossil generation could rise from 23 per cent to between 80 and 85 per cent. Urbanisation, cooling needs, digitalisation and electric mobility are identified as key drivers of higher electricity demand.
In transport, electricity, biofuels and hydrogen could meet nearly 90 per cent of energy demand by 2070, aided by modal shifts towards public and shared mobility and greater use of rail and waterways. In industry, demand for steel, cement and aluminium is expected to rise by four to six times by 2070, with electrification, material efficiency, recycling and green hydrogen forming the basis of industrial energy. The assessments stress technology adoption and structural change to manage growth while limiting emissions.
The critical mineral analysis indicates recycling could supply 20 to 25 per cent of copper and graphite demand by mid?century, helping to reduce import dependence. A panel discussion emphasised renewables and storage as the least cost pathway and said detailed policy interventions and implementation will be required to realise the scenarios. Officials noted roadmaps including a 500 gigawatt (GW) renewables target and stressed the need to keep distribution companies financially healthy while pursuing long term low carbon objectives.