Morgan Stanley Lowers 2024 Oil Demand Forecast Due to China Concerns
OIL & GAS

Morgan Stanley Lowers 2024 Oil Demand Forecast Due to China Concerns

Morgan Stanley has revised its 2024 oil demand growth outlook, reducing the forecast due to economic challenges in China, the world's second-largest oil consumer. The bank now predicts global oil demand to increase by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, down from the previous estimate of 1.6 million bpd.

China's sluggish economic recovery, slower industrial output, and weaker-than-expected demand for oil-related products have raised concerns about the country's ability to drive global oil consumption. As China faces ongoing economic headwinds, including a struggling property sector and slower export growth, these factors have significantly influenced the global oil demand outlook.

Morgan Stanley also highlighted the impact of increased energy efficiency and the transition toward cleaner energy alternatives, further dampening the demand for traditional oil. The rise of electric vehicles and renewable energy initiatives are expected to contribute to a slower pace of oil consumption growth in the coming years.

Despite the lowered forecast, Morgan Stanley noted that global oil markets could remain tight in 2024, particularly if production cuts by OPEC+ continue. While demand growth is expected to moderate, supply-side constraints may still support higher oil prices over the next year.

Morgan Stanley has revised its 2024 oil demand growth outlook, reducing the forecast due to economic challenges in China, the world's second-largest oil consumer. The bank now predicts global oil demand to increase by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, down from the previous estimate of 1.6 million bpd. China's sluggish economic recovery, slower industrial output, and weaker-than-expected demand for oil-related products have raised concerns about the country's ability to drive global oil consumption. As China faces ongoing economic headwinds, including a struggling property sector and slower export growth, these factors have significantly influenced the global oil demand outlook. Morgan Stanley also highlighted the impact of increased energy efficiency and the transition toward cleaner energy alternatives, further dampening the demand for traditional oil. The rise of electric vehicles and renewable energy initiatives are expected to contribute to a slower pace of oil consumption growth in the coming years. Despite the lowered forecast, Morgan Stanley noted that global oil markets could remain tight in 2024, particularly if production cuts by OPEC+ continue. While demand growth is expected to moderate, supply-side constraints may still support higher oil prices over the next year.

Related Stories

Gold Stories

Next Story
Resources

Schindler named among Forbes’ World’s Best Employers 2026

Schindler has been named among Forbes’ World’s Best Employers 2026, a global ranking recognising companies for their workplace environments.Compiled by Forbes in partnership with Statista, the ranking is based on independent employee feedback, including whether employees would recommend their organisation to friends and family.The company said the recognition reflected its focus on creating a workplace where employees can develop their expertise and build careers. ..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

India needs an export-execution mindset: Vishesh Jain

Interview with Vishesh Jain, Founder & CEO, EximpleWhat gaps in India’s global trade ecosystem led you to build Eximple, and what problem did you see businesses struggling with most?Eximple came out of a problem that all three founders had seen from different choke points in the trade ecosystem. India has millions of MSMEs and manufacturers, and many of them can make products that are genuinely competitive on quality. Yet only a small fraction is able to build meaningful international businesses. In our experience, the gap is usually not manufacturing capability; it is the ability to exe..

Next Story
Building Material

Nuvoco reports 13.5% revenue growth in Q2 FY27

Nuvoco Vistas Corp. Ltd. reported consolidated revenue of Rs 27.9 billion for Q2 FY27, up 13.5% year on year. Cement sales volume rose 9% to 4.7 million tonnes (MMT), while EBITDA increased 11% to Rs 4.11 billion.The company said it began its cement operations in 2014 with a 2.3 MMT per annum (MMTPA) operation at Nimbol. It now aims to reach 35 MMTPA of cement capacity by FY28, nearly 15 times its initial capacity. Its portfolio spans cement, ready-mix concrete and modern building materials.On sustainability and cost efficiency, Nuvoco partnered with CleanMax for a 46.4 MW wind-solar hybrid re..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

SPECIAL OFFER
QR Code