+
 Cement demand to sustain: India Ratings and Research
Cement

Cement demand to sustain: India Ratings and Research

According to an India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) report, Cement demand growth is expected to continue in Q4 FY21.

The agency pointed out the aggregate sale volumes of listed cement companies grew 9% year-on-year (YoY) in Q3 FY21.

This trend, Ind-Ra cited, was led by the continued momentum in the rural segment and some traction in infrastructure.

The strong performance in Q3 FY21 restricted the volume decline at 6% YoY in 9M FY21. Given the low Covid-impacted March 2020 base, Ind-Ra expects continued volume growth in Q4 FY21, resulting in an overall decline of just around 2% YoY for FY21.

According to the agency, the eastern region is likely to clock growth in FY21, while the central and north have also witnessed a smooth recovery.

The report stated that the recovery in the southern region has been slower, given its higher exposure to institutional sales and a prolonged monsoon, though exceptions such as NCL Industries Limited (NCL) and Deccan Cements Limited witnessed double digit growth in 9M FY21.

Notwithstanding some recovery Q3 FY21 onwards, the western region would decline the sharpest in FY21, given the highest incidence of Covid-19 within the country.

Besides, Ind-Ra said capex completions in FY21 delayed due to Covid-19, the bulk of the expected additions for the year would come on stream only in Q4 FY21.

Ind-Ra expects capacities of 12.7 million tonne (mt) to be added in Q4 of FY21 (9M FY21: 5.2 mt). However, Ind-Ra estimates the effective capacity addition during the year at around 10 mt, resulting in less than 65% capacity utilisations due to the demand impact. The listed universe would continue to report higher utilisations than the overall industry average.

On the rising input prices, the agency said that per coke prices hit $125 per mt in March 2021 and are likely to be almost 60% YoY higher in Q4 FY21, while coal price, which started increasing from September 2020, is likely to be around 30% YoY higher. The report also said diesel prices are likely to be 20-25% higher YoY basis in Q4 FY21.

Image Source


Also read: Cement production finally turns the corner

Also read: Cement demand expected to rise by up to 20% in fiscal 2022: ICRA

According to an India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) report, Cement demand growth is expected to continue in Q4 FY21. The agency pointed out the aggregate sale volumes of listed cement companies grew 9% year-on-year (YoY) in Q3 FY21. This trend, Ind-Ra cited, was led by the continued momentum in the rural segment and some traction in infrastructure. The strong performance in Q3 FY21 restricted the volume decline at 6% YoY in 9M FY21. Given the low Covid-impacted March 2020 base, Ind-Ra expects continued volume growth in Q4 FY21, resulting in an overall decline of just around 2% YoY for FY21. According to the agency, the eastern region is likely to clock growth in FY21, while the central and north have also witnessed a smooth recovery. The report stated that the recovery in the southern region has been slower, given its higher exposure to institutional sales and a prolonged monsoon, though exceptions such as NCL Industries Limited (NCL) and Deccan Cements Limited witnessed double digit growth in 9M FY21. Notwithstanding some recovery Q3 FY21 onwards, the western region would decline the sharpest in FY21, given the highest incidence of Covid-19 within the country. Besides, Ind-Ra said capex completions in FY21 delayed due to Covid-19, the bulk of the expected additions for the year would come on stream only in Q4 FY21. Ind-Ra expects capacities of 12.7 million tonne (mt) to be added in Q4 of FY21 (9M FY21: 5.2 mt). However, Ind-Ra estimates the effective capacity addition during the year at around 10 mt, resulting in less than 65% capacity utilisations due to the demand impact. The listed universe would continue to report higher utilisations than the overall industry average. On the rising input prices, the agency said that per coke prices hit $125 per mt in March 2021 and are likely to be almost 60% YoY higher in Q4 FY21, while coal price, which started increasing from September 2020, is likely to be around 30% YoY higher. The report also said diesel prices are likely to be 20-25% higher YoY basis in Q4 FY21. Image Source Also read: Cement production finally turns the corner Also read: Cement demand expected to rise by up to 20% in fiscal 2022: ICRA

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Naidu Seeks Rs 563 Crore For AP Sports Infrastructure

Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu has sought Rs 563 crore from the Centre to boost sports infrastructure in the state, including Rs 538 crore for stadium development and Rs 25 crore to host the Khelo India Martial Arts Games 2025. Naidu made the request during a meeting with Union Youth Services and Sports Minister Mansukh Mandaviya in New Delhi on Wednesday.The CM urged early completion of Khelo India infrastructure projects in Tirupati, Rajahmundry, Kakinada, and Narasaraopeta, and called for an international-standard badminton training centre and a national aquatic sports hu..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Tough Bidding Norms Slow NHAI Road Project Awards

Stringent bidding rules imposed by the Ministry of Road Transport & Highways (MoRTH) have led to a slowdown in project awards by the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI), despite a robust Rs 3.5 trillion pipeline. According to an HDFC Securities report, the shift to more cautious developer models now favours firms with strong balance sheets, as tighter qualification norms limit aggressive bidders.The revised norms mandate additional performance security, targeting the exclusion of players that previously submitted low bids—often 25 to 40 per cent below NHAI cost estimates—raisin..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Mumbai Gets Coastal Nod for Next Promenade Phase

As Mumbai prepares to open two major sections of its expansive seafront promenade this week, the city’s civic authority has secured a key coastal clearance to advance further construction. The Maharashtra Coastal Zone Management Authority (MCZMA) has approved the commencement of work on the segment between Haji Ali and Baroda Palace, with tendering expected soon after project cost assessments.The promenade, stretching 7.5 km in length and 20 metres wide, is being designed as a flagship open space for walkers, joggers, and cyclists. Two critical stretches—2.75 km from Tata Garden to Haji Al..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Talk to us?