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A Blast from the Past
ECONOMY & POLICY

A Blast from the Past

Last month I had cited the slowdown in the economy in this column and then just a few days later the GDP figures broke the markets. There are principally five reasons as elucidated by authors of a study by Centre for Social and Economic Studies for this slowdown:Wages for casual a...

Last month I had cited the slowdown in the economy in this column and then just a few days later the GDP figures broke the markets. There are principally five reasons as elucidated by authors of a study by Centre for Social and Economic Studies for this slowdown:Wages for casual and self-employed workers grew by a mere 4.5% during seven quarters versus over 10% to 15% in the previous periodFood inflation averaged 7.1% in last two years over 5.3% in the previous periodGST collections grew at 11.5% versus GDP which grew by 9.3% creating an increased burden of indirect taxes on consumer demandDebt burden of households increased as a percentage of disposable income from 40% in 2019-20 to 48% in 2022-23 and further in 2023-24. Consequently, the debt servicing burden also rose by 20% over the same periodEven though the market capitalisation surged by 89% between April 2020 and March 2024, retail investors lost Rs 1.81 trillion in the derivates market. Notably these losses were mostly borne by investors whose annual income was less than Rs 5 lacsThe finance minister needs to be alarmed with these reasons and the RBI ought to reconsider its stance on the monetary policy. As we wind down the financial year, we ought to also consider the cost of holding elections in the country which have been also the underlying reason for this slowdown. Given that the government spending was the main driver of the economic growth, its stalling during the year has also caused a lower than targeted spending and has led to a muted infusion of multiplication factors which help create the combustion in the economy. The last quarter of the financial year needs to accelerate the budgeted spending and the Union Budget, which is just a month away, needs to fuel this further. The monetary policy in February with the new governor ought to consider a drop in interest rates.States like Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu apart from Uttar Pradesh are ones which have transcended announcements into action and have begun pitching to investors. Maharashtra is likely to follow suit and has a good story to tell with its infrastructure quotient having been sufficiently raised. The Northeast region has a lot of potential and its current Union Minister Jyotiraditya Scindia has put his might behind scoring accelerated progress. Number of airports are being raised to 17 from 9, waterways have risen to 20, 19 projects worth ₹81,941 crore are currently underway, 5,500 kms of highways and MOUs worth ₹38,000 crore already signed, the region is becoming the hub of increased activity.As we ended 2024, our former Prime Minister, Dr Manmohan Singh passed away.  I have had the privilege of meeting late Dr Manmohan Singh in 1993 when I was editing Dalal Street Journal magazine, and we had hosted the Corporate Excellence Awards. Those days the liberalisation initiatives of the government, which Dr Singh along with the then Prime Minister Narsimha Rao, had engineered, had injected energy into India's sagging fortunes. My late father, VB Padode, also seen in the picture, led the equity cult information revolution, through the magazine in India. Dr Singh arrived precisely at 6:20 PM and was escorted to the banquet hall. He inquired about our publishing activities and even bantered with us about the stock markets. Since I was seated next to Dr Singh, I noticed him glance at his watch as the program commenced — it was exactly 6:30 PM, the scheduled start time we had communicated to him.His humility, impeccable conduct, and the insightful speech he delivered to the corporate leaders left a lasting impression on everyone present. Do sign up for the 3rd Metro Rail Conference scheduled on 22nd January 2025 in Mumbai.

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Real Estate

Shriram Properties Launches ‘Codename: The One’ in Bengaluru

Shriram Properties (SPL), a leading real estate developer focused on the mid-market and mid-premium segments, has announced the launch of its latest residential project under the banner “Codename: The One” in Bengaluru’s Electronic City corridor. This feature-rich gated community will offer 340 spacious 2- and 3-BHK residences, with a total saleable area of approximately 5 lakh square feet and an estimated revenue potential of over Rs 3.5 billion. The project is expected to be developed over a span of more than three years.  Strategically located near the Bommasandra Metro stat..

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Resources

India Warehousing Show 2025 Closes with Strong Global Presence

The 14th edition of the India Warehousing Show (IWS) 2025 concluded successfully at Yashobhoomi (IICC), Dwarka, drawing participation from over 300 exhibitors across 15 countries and welcoming 15,000+ visitors. Recognised as India’s leading platform for warehousing and logistics excellence, IWS 2025 offered a comprehensive display of cutting-edge automation, sustainable warehousing solutions, and next-gen supply chain technologies. The show was inaugurated by Shri Pankaj Kumar, Joint Secretary – Logistics, DPIIT, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of India. In his opening a..

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Equipment

MHIET Launches 450kW Gas Cogeneration System with H₂ Co-Firing

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Engine & Turbocharger (MHIET), part of the Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Group, has launched a new 450kW gas cogeneration system, the SGP M450, jointly developed with Toho Gas Co.,. The system supports hydrogen co-firing at up to 15 vol per cent, with no loss in performance or reliability.  The system is currently available in the Japanese market, and has been developed from the existing GS6R2 city gas engine platform. Key modifications were made to the fuel gas and engine control systems to enable hydrogen co-firing.   Verified through de..

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