+
Volatility and Virus Perils
Real Estate

Volatility and Virus Perils

In the Indian scenario, we look upon festivals as auspicious times to make a new beginning. For real estate, Gudi Padwa is traditionally, the day when all new beginnings – be it booking a new home or moving into a new home – are considered to be done on an auspicious note. This year, things are a bit different, with the Coronavirus pandemic impacting all sectors of the economy.

The ‘challenging scenario’ is something real estate has been dealing with since the economic and policy reforms were introduced; the impact of what I call the ‘tsunamis’ – demonetisation through RERA and GST, among others – was major. Buyer confidence reduced, sentiments were impacted and sales dropped to low figures. Add to this the credit squeeze and last mile funding challenge, not to forget the NBFC crisis, ILFS and DHFL. Result: Troubles compounded.

In this extremely challenged scenario, housing, as a basic need, saw the buyer return. Not as much as would have been optimum, but still, the buyer was back, prospecting for the ideal home to buy. In this situation, we now have the pandemic, COVID-19.

Logically, the lock-down that COVID-19 results in, first impacts sales. Real estate is in that situation, where the home buyer was gradually returning, but COVID-19 has been a speed-breaker of sorts. The slowdown since end-February is apparent; and while site visits are marginally down, the decision-making process is hugely delayed.

The Pandemic menace has hit at a particularly sensitive time, that of the Financial Year closing (March 31). Across real estate companies, this is the time when statutory payouts and streamlining of balance sheet happens. This is a challenge for real estate as an industry, a representation has been made to the Government of India about a few economic intervention measures like rescheduling loan repayments, a one-time rollover for debt restructuring and deep interest rate cut – these will help salvage the economic challenges for real estate companies.

Coming on the eve of the festival, this is important because real estate is the second largest employment generator, and has a ‘multiplier effect’ on 250-plus allied industries need the support to face the challenge. This year’s on festive occasion of Gudi Padwa/Ugadi might see drop in launches across and delayed sales deal closure, with a direct effect on site visits by potential buyers.

When it comes to commercial real estate, the impact of COVID-19 in form of shutdown of retail outlets and malls as also entertainment and fitness centres has put commercial real estate deals on ‘wait and watch mode’.

Salvaging Indian real estate is critical, not just from the GDP growth perspective, but also for employment generation. This Gudi Padwa, if the Government of India has taken quick fiscal measures, the real estate industry will be able to save jobs and capital erosion, as also avoid default in payments. That happening, Gudi Padwa this year will truly be a festival of hope.

About the Author:
Dr Niranjan Hiranandani is President (National) NAREDCO (National Real Estate Development Council ). He is also the President of ASSOCHAM (The Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India) and Founder & Managing Director, Hiranandani Group.

In the Indian scenario, we look upon festivals as auspicious times to make a new beginning. For real estate, Gudi Padwa is traditionally, the day when all new beginnings – be it booking a new home or moving into a new home – are considered to be done on an auspicious note. This year, things are a bit different, with the Coronavirus pandemic impacting all sectors of the economy. The ‘challenging scenario’ is something real estate has been dealing with since the economic and policy reforms were introduced; the impact of what I call the ‘tsunamis’ – demonetisation through RERA and GST, among others – was major. Buyer confidence reduced, sentiments were impacted and sales dropped to low figures. Add to this the credit squeeze and last mile funding challenge, not to forget the NBFC crisis, ILFS and DHFL. Result: Troubles compounded. In this extremely challenged scenario, housing, as a basic need, saw the buyer return. Not as much as would have been optimum, but still, the buyer was back, prospecting for the ideal home to buy. In this situation, we now have the pandemic, COVID-19. Logically, the lock-down that COVID-19 results in, first impacts sales. Real estate is in that situation, where the home buyer was gradually returning, but COVID-19 has been a speed-breaker of sorts. The slowdown since end-February is apparent; and while site visits are marginally down, the decision-making process is hugely delayed. The Pandemic menace has hit at a particularly sensitive time, that of the Financial Year closing (March 31). Across real estate companies, this is the time when statutory payouts and streamlining of balance sheet happens. This is a challenge for real estate as an industry, a representation has been made to the Government of India about a few economic intervention measures like rescheduling loan repayments, a one-time rollover for debt restructuring and deep interest rate cut – these will help salvage the economic challenges for real estate companies. Coming on the eve of the festival, this is important because real estate is the second largest employment generator, and has a ‘multiplier effect’ on 250-plus allied industries need the support to face the challenge. This year’s on festive occasion of Gudi Padwa/Ugadi might see drop in launches across and delayed sales deal closure, with a direct effect on site visits by potential buyers. When it comes to commercial real estate, the impact of COVID-19 in form of shutdown of retail outlets and malls as also entertainment and fitness centres has put commercial real estate deals on ‘wait and watch mode’. Salvaging Indian real estate is critical, not just from the GDP growth perspective, but also for employment generation. This Gudi Padwa, if the Government of India has taken quick fiscal measures, the real estate industry will be able to save jobs and capital erosion, as also avoid default in payments. That happening, Gudi Padwa this year will truly be a festival of hope. About the Author: Dr Niranjan Hiranandani is President (National) NAREDCO (National Real Estate Development Council ). He is also the President of ASSOCHAM (The Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India) and Founder & Managing Director, Hiranandani Group.

Next Story
Real Estate

No glass boxes!

India is moving away from the ‘glass box’ syndrome, all-glass façades that were widely used in commercial buildings in the last two decades but came at a significant environmental cost given the country’s predominantly hot and humid climate. Poor thermal performance, excessive heat gain and dependency on mechanical cooling systems made buildings with glass façades energy guzzlers and significantly increased their carbon footprint.That said, it’s important to be aware that “glass is not the enemy,” points out Heena Bhargava, Architect, Architecture Discipline. “How it ..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Why do pavements fail?

India’s highways continue to expand at a healthy pace. But conversations on the surface quality of highways are growing louder because major deficiencies and black spots continue to be identified, and they are cause for concern.“Road surface roughness causes vehicle vibrations that, in turn, can affect the performance of drivers,” explains Dr V K Gahlot, Road Safety Auditor, Centre for Research and Sustainable Development (CfRSD). “Continuous exposure may induce fatigue, a contributory factor to road accidents. Road surface roughness also affects the vehicle operating cost...

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

APAC Logistics Rents Fall for First Time Since 2020

Logistics rents across the Asia-Pacific region declined 0.4% year-on-year in H1 2025, marking the first annual drop since 2020, according to Knight Frank’s Logistics Highlights H1 2025 report. Despite global trade tensions and cautious occupier sentiment, India emerged as a standout performer, driven by robust manufacturing momentum and supply chain recalibration.Regional Trends and DivergenceWhile rents largely remained stable across most markets, regional differences became more pronounced:Mainland China continued to see rental declines, though the pace of decline moderated to 12.8% YoY, s..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Talk to us?