India to Outpace Major Steel-Consuming Economies In 2025
Steel

India to Outpace Major Steel-Consuming Economies In 2025

India will continue to outpace other major steel-consuming economies in calendar year 2025 with a demand growth of 8-9 per cent, CRISIL's Market Intelligence and Analytics report said. This demand will be driven by a shift towards steel-intensive construction in the housing and infrastructure sectors along with better demand from engineering, packaging and other segments, the report added. The report, however, highlights that the domestic supply will remain a "point of concern," adding that the demand is estimated to have increased by 11 per cent in India. Competitive imports and a decline in exports also played a role in weaker production growth in 2024. While finished steel imports increased by 24.5 per cent, exports declined by 6.4 per cent, leading to additional availability of 3.2 million tonnes of finished steel apart from domestic production. This additional material availability accounted for 2 per cent of the total finished steel demand. The report added that the finished steel imports from all key exporters to India have increased significantly in the past few years. For instance, China has traditionally been an exporter of value-added products and speciality steel such as galvanised and coated steel, alloy steel and stainless steel to India, with a minimal share of hot-rolled coils and strips (HRC) and cold-rolled coils and strips (CRC). However, between 2022 and 2024, while finished steel imports from China increased 2.4-fold, imports of HRC jumped 28-fold. Notably, HRC is used as feed material to produce various value-added downstream products, and these imports are often at a discount to domestic HRC prices, creating price pressure on domestic steel. Similarly, the overall finished steel import from Japan increased 2.8-fold in 2024 from the base of 2022, while HRC imports increased 16.6-fold. Finished steel imports from Vietnam increased 8-fold, while HRC imports jumped 27-fold. Import growth from South Korea was relatively modest, bringing down its share in India's finished steel import basket. Domestic steel prices, meanwhile, declined in 2024, impacted by additional material availability due to an increase in net imports. HRC prices declined 9 per cent, and CRC prices declined 7 per cent, thereby slowing the topline growth of domestic mills. Nevertheless, low volatility and declining coking coal prices have helped to lessen margin pressure to some extent, as per the report. While iron ore prices are predicted to have risen by 9-10 percent during the period, the spot price of coking coal for the Premium Low Volatility grade, which is of Australian origin, fell by 12 percent in 2024. Notably, the price of China HRC exports fell by 12 percent in 2024 and continues to be lower than the price of domestic mills. The report added that the imposition of a safeguard duty proposed by the industry could be a positive and if implemented, steel prices in 2025 would be much higher than 2024, with the impact more prominent in the first half.

India will continue to outpace other major steel-consuming economies in calendar year 2025 with a demand growth of 8-9 per cent, CRISIL's Market Intelligence and Analytics report said. This demand will be driven by a shift towards steel-intensive construction in the housing and infrastructure sectors along with better demand from engineering, packaging and other segments, the report added. The report, however, highlights that the domestic supply will remain a point of concern, adding that the demand is estimated to have increased by 11 per cent in India. Competitive imports and a decline in exports also played a role in weaker production growth in 2024. While finished steel imports increased by 24.5 per cent, exports declined by 6.4 per cent, leading to additional availability of 3.2 million tonnes of finished steel apart from domestic production. This additional material availability accounted for 2 per cent of the total finished steel demand. The report added that the finished steel imports from all key exporters to India have increased significantly in the past few years. For instance, China has traditionally been an exporter of value-added products and speciality steel such as galvanised and coated steel, alloy steel and stainless steel to India, with a minimal share of hot-rolled coils and strips (HRC) and cold-rolled coils and strips (CRC). However, between 2022 and 2024, while finished steel imports from China increased 2.4-fold, imports of HRC jumped 28-fold. Notably, HRC is used as feed material to produce various value-added downstream products, and these imports are often at a discount to domestic HRC prices, creating price pressure on domestic steel. Similarly, the overall finished steel import from Japan increased 2.8-fold in 2024 from the base of 2022, while HRC imports increased 16.6-fold. Finished steel imports from Vietnam increased 8-fold, while HRC imports jumped 27-fold. Import growth from South Korea was relatively modest, bringing down its share in India's finished steel import basket. Domestic steel prices, meanwhile, declined in 2024, impacted by additional material availability due to an increase in net imports. HRC prices declined 9 per cent, and CRC prices declined 7 per cent, thereby slowing the topline growth of domestic mills. Nevertheless, low volatility and declining coking coal prices have helped to lessen margin pressure to some extent, as per the report. While iron ore prices are predicted to have risen by 9-10 percent during the period, the spot price of coking coal for the Premium Low Volatility grade, which is of Australian origin, fell by 12 percent in 2024. Notably, the price of China HRC exports fell by 12 percent in 2024 and continues to be lower than the price of domestic mills. The report added that the imposition of a safeguard duty proposed by the industry could be a positive and if implemented, steel prices in 2025 would be much higher than 2024, with the impact more prominent in the first half.

Next Story
Real Estate

Mahindra Lifespaces Bags Rs 12.5 billion Redevelopment in Mulund

Mahindra Lifespace Developers (MLDL), the real estate and infrastructure development arm of the Mahindra Group, has been appointed as the preferred developer for the redevelopment of a premium housing society in Mulund (West), Mumbai. The project will be developed across a 3.08-acre land parcel, with an estimated development value of approximately Rs 12.5 billion. Strategically located, the site enjoys proximity to major connectivity points—just 1.4 km from the upcoming Mumbai Metro Line 5 and 0.8 km from the Goregaon-Mulund Link Road. It also offers seamless access to the Eastern Expre..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Snowman Adds Warehouses in Kolkata and Krishnapatnam

Snowman Logistics, India’s leading integrated temperature-controlled logistics company, has announced the commencement of operations at its two new state-of-the-art, owned cold storage facilities in Kolkata and Krishnapatnam. With these additions, the company’s total pallet capacity has reached 1,50,754, spanning 43 warehouses in 20 cities across the country. The newly operational Kolkata facility offers a storage capacity of 5,630 pallets, while the Krishnapatnam facility holds 3,927 pallets. These warehouses are equipped with advanced automation and infrastructure designed to enhanc..

Next Story
Resources

Noesis Enables IHCL Hotel Deal in Udupi–Manipal Corridor

NOESIS Capital Advisors, India’s leading hotel investment advisory firm, has successfully facilitated a landmark hospitality transaction in the Udupi–Manipal region of Karnataka. The deal involves the acquisition of a nearly completed, 130-key upscale hotel that will operate under one of the premium brands of IHCL, reinforcing NOESIS’ position as a preferred partner for strategic hospitality transactions across India. Strategically located on the Udupi–Manipal Highway, the 1.03-acre property will cater to business travellers, pilgrims and families visiting Manipal University. With..

Advertisement

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Talk to us?