Oil Prices Dip Amid Supply Forecasts and Chinese Stimulus Optimism
OIL & GAS

Oil Prices Dip Amid Supply Forecasts and Chinese Stimulus Optimism

Oil prices edged lower as investors weighed ample supply projections against expectations of rising demand fueled by Chinese stimulus measures.

Brent crude futures slipped by Rs 8 to settle at Rs 73.33 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell Rs 7 to Rs 69.95 a barrel.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts non-OPEC+ countries, including the U.S., Canada, Guyana, Brazil, and Argentina, will increase supply by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2025. In contrast, global demand is projected to grow by 1.1 million bpd, mostly in Asia, driven by China's recent economic measures.

Despite expectations of a tighter market next year, supply is likely to outpace demand growth, keeping prices in a stable range. “With a fairly comfortable balance, there’s little reason for prices to break out of this range for now,” said Warren Patterson, Head of Commodities Research at ING.

Both Brent and WTI benchmarks are poised for a weekly gain exceeding 3%, supported by potential supply disruptions from stricter sanctions on Russia and Iran, and hopes for stronger Chinese demand.

China, the world's largest oil importer, reported annual growth in crude imports for the first time in seven months this November, propelled by lower prices and stockpiling. The trend is expected to continue into early 2025 as refiners leverage discounted supplies from Saudi Arabia and rush to utilize import quotas.

Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs anticipates U.S. shale oil production to grow by 600,000 bpd by 2025, although growth may slow if Brent crude dips below $70 a barrel.

Investors remain focused on next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and its potential impact on the energy market.

Oil prices edged lower as investors weighed ample supply projections against expectations of rising demand fueled by Chinese stimulus measures. Brent crude futures slipped by Rs 8 to settle at Rs 73.33 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell Rs 7 to Rs 69.95 a barrel. The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts non-OPEC+ countries, including the U.S., Canada, Guyana, Brazil, and Argentina, will increase supply by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2025. In contrast, global demand is projected to grow by 1.1 million bpd, mostly in Asia, driven by China's recent economic measures. Despite expectations of a tighter market next year, supply is likely to outpace demand growth, keeping prices in a stable range. “With a fairly comfortable balance, there’s little reason for prices to break out of this range for now,” said Warren Patterson, Head of Commodities Research at ING. Both Brent and WTI benchmarks are poised for a weekly gain exceeding 3%, supported by potential supply disruptions from stricter sanctions on Russia and Iran, and hopes for stronger Chinese demand. China, the world's largest oil importer, reported annual growth in crude imports for the first time in seven months this November, propelled by lower prices and stockpiling. The trend is expected to continue into early 2025 as refiners leverage discounted supplies from Saudi Arabia and rush to utilize import quotas. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs anticipates U.S. shale oil production to grow by 600,000 bpd by 2025, although growth may slow if Brent crude dips below $70 a barrel. Investors remain focused on next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and its potential impact on the energy market.

Related Stories

Gold Stories

Next Story
Resources

Schindler named among Forbes’ World’s Best Employers 2026

Schindler has been named among Forbes’ World’s Best Employers 2026, a global ranking recognising companies for their workplace environments.Compiled by Forbes in partnership with Statista, the ranking is based on independent employee feedback, including whether employees would recommend their organisation to friends and family.The company said the recognition reflected its focus on creating a workplace where employees can develop their expertise and build careers. ..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

India needs an export-execution mindset: Vishesh Jain

Interview with Vishesh Jain, Founder & CEO, EximpleWhat gaps in India’s global trade ecosystem led you to build Eximple, and what problem did you see businesses struggling with most?Eximple came out of a problem that all three founders had seen from different choke points in the trade ecosystem. India has millions of MSMEs and manufacturers, and many of them can make products that are genuinely competitive on quality. Yet only a small fraction is able to build meaningful international businesses. In our experience, the gap is usually not manufacturing capability; it is the ability to exe..

Next Story
Building Material

Nuvoco reports 13.5% revenue growth in Q2 FY27

Nuvoco Vistas Corp. Ltd. reported consolidated revenue of Rs 27.9 billion for Q2 FY27, up 13.5% year on year. Cement sales volume rose 9% to 4.7 million tonnes (MMT), while EBITDA increased 11% to Rs 4.11 billion.The company said it began its cement operations in 2014 with a 2.3 MMT per annum (MMTPA) operation at Nimbol. It now aims to reach 35 MMTPA of cement capacity by FY28, nearly 15 times its initial capacity. Its portfolio spans cement, ready-mix concrete and modern building materials.On sustainability and cost efficiency, Nuvoco partnered with CleanMax for a 46.4 MW wind-solar hybrid re..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

SPECIAL OFFER
QR Code