+
Oil trims losses on tight near-term supply
OIL & GAS

Oil trims losses on tight near-term supply

Oil prices edged up on signs of near-term supply tightness but remained near their lowest in two weeks a day after OPEC downgraded its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025.Brent futures rose 13 cents or 0.18% to $72.02 a barrel by 0205 GMT, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained 13 cents, or 0.19 % , to $68.25. "Crude oil prices edged higher as tightness in the physical market offset bearish sentiment on demand. Buyers in the physical market have been particularly active, with any available cargoes being snapped up quickly," ANZ analysts said in a note. But falling demand projections and weakness in major consumer China continued to weigh on market sentiment. In its monthly report, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month, mostly due to weakness in China, the worlds biggest oil importer. Oil prices settled up 0.1 % on Tuesday following the news, after falling by about 5 % during the two previous sessions. OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd. The IEA, which has a far lower view, is set to publish its updated forecast on Thursday. "The re-election of former President Trump is unlikely to materially affect oil market fundamentals over the near term, in our view," Barclays analysts wrote. "Drill, baby, drill: this is likely to underwhelm as a strategy to drive oil prices materially lower over the near term" given that the stock of approved permits actually rose under the Biden administration, the analysts said. However, markets would still feel the effects of a supply disruption from Iran or a further escalation between Iran and Israel, according to Barclays. Donald Trump's expected Secretary of State pick, U.S. Senator Marco Rubio, is known for his hardline stance on Iran, China, and Cuba. Tighter enforcement of sanctions on Iran could disrupt global oil supply, while a tougher approach to China could further weaken oil demand in the world's largest consumer. Two U.S. central bankers said on Tuesday that interest rates are acting as a brake on inflation that is still above the 2 % mark, suggesting that the Federal Reserve would be open to further interest rate cuts. The Fed cut its policy rate last week by a quarter of a %age point to the 4.50 % -4.75 % range. Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand. U.S. weekly inventory reports have been delayed by a day following Monday's Veterans Day holiday. The American Petroleum Institute industry group data is due at 4:30 p.m. EST (2130 GMT).Analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories rose by about 100,000 barrels in the week to Nov. 8.

Oil prices edged up on signs of near-term supply tightness but remained near their lowest in two weeks a day after OPEC downgraded its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025.Brent futures rose 13 cents or 0.18% to $72.02 a barrel by 0205 GMT, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained 13 cents, or 0.19 % , to $68.25. Crude oil prices edged higher as tightness in the physical market offset bearish sentiment on demand. Buyers in the physical market have been particularly active, with any available cargoes being snapped up quickly, ANZ analysts said in a note. But falling demand projections and weakness in major consumer China continued to weigh on market sentiment. In its monthly report, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month, mostly due to weakness in China, the worlds biggest oil importer. Oil prices settled up 0.1 % on Tuesday following the news, after falling by about 5 % during the two previous sessions. OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd. The IEA, which has a far lower view, is set to publish its updated forecast on Thursday. The re-election of former President Trump is unlikely to materially affect oil market fundamentals over the near term, in our view, Barclays analysts wrote. Drill, baby, drill: this is likely to underwhelm as a strategy to drive oil prices materially lower over the near term given that the stock of approved permits actually rose under the Biden administration, the analysts said. However, markets would still feel the effects of a supply disruption from Iran or a further escalation between Iran and Israel, according to Barclays. Donald Trump's expected Secretary of State pick, U.S. Senator Marco Rubio, is known for his hardline stance on Iran, China, and Cuba. Tighter enforcement of sanctions on Iran could disrupt global oil supply, while a tougher approach to China could further weaken oil demand in the world's largest consumer. Two U.S. central bankers said on Tuesday that interest rates are acting as a brake on inflation that is still above the 2 % mark, suggesting that the Federal Reserve would be open to further interest rate cuts. The Fed cut its policy rate last week by a quarter of a %age point to the 4.50 % -4.75 % range. Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand. U.S. weekly inventory reports have been delayed by a day following Monday's Veterans Day holiday. The American Petroleum Institute industry group data is due at 4:30 p.m. EST (2130 GMT).Analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories rose by about 100,000 barrels in the week to Nov. 8.

Related Stories

Gold Stories

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

97 Per Cent Of Rongjeng-Mangsang-Adokgre Road Nears Completion

Deputy Chief Minister in-charge of public works Prestone Tynsong said in Shillong on 26 August that 97 per cent physical progress had been achieved on the ongoing Rongjeng-Mangsang-Adokgre road being constructed under the Non-Lapsable Central Pool of Resources (NLCPR). He noted the project was sanctioned in 2017 and that the stipulated time for completion had been 24 months from issue of the final work order. The deputy chief minister informed the assembly that the government had decided to include the remaining work under a World Bank project. In reply to a query from Rongjeng MLA Jim M Sangm..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

First TBM Starts Digging Five Point Three Kilometre Tunnel Under SGNP

The Goregaon-Mulund Link Road (GMLR) Phase three (B) project has reached a key milestone as the first tunnel boring machine (TBM) began excavation of the first of two tunnels beneath the Sanjay Gandhi National Park (SGNP). The machine, named Tulsi, started cutting a five point three kilometre bore that will link Dadasaheb Phalke Chitranagari in Goregaon East with Amar Nagar in Mulund West. Officials issued a statement noting the commencement of tunnelling work under the protected green belt. The twin tunnels are being constructed using mechanised tunnelling methods that aim to limit surface di..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

UP Approves Two Expressways And Rs 240 bn Infrastructure Push

The Uttar Pradesh Cabinet approved a series of infrastructure and industrial investment proposals totalling Rs 240 billion (Rs 240 bn), including two major expressway projects, a manufacturing and logistics cluster in Sultanpur and incentives for 11 industrial projects across the state. The decisions, taken at a meeting chaired by Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, underline the state government’s focus on expanding road connectivity around emerging industrial hubs while attracting manufacturing investment to districts beyond major urban centres. The approvals cover both greenfield expressway c..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

SPECIAL OFFER
QR Code