Machine learning-based technology to forecast solar power generation
POWER & RENEWABLE ENERGY

Machine learning-based technology to forecast solar power generation

Two new machine learning-based models for forecasting the power generated by solar projects have been developed by researchers led by Dr Kalop of Urban Environmental Engineering and Professor Heo Jong-wan of Incheon National University in South Korea.

The advanced models incorporating artificial intelligence, dubbed the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), efficiently forecast the power generated by photovoltaic systems up to a full day ahead of time.

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews published the research paper.

Integrating solar photovoltaic (PV) power into existing power grids is a difficult task because PV systems' power output is heavily influenced by environmental factors. According to the researchers, an accurate forecast of solar PV power generation is required for efficient power integration into existing power grids.

The researchers combined two models with adaptive and time-varying acceleration coefficients: ANFIS and particle swarm optimization (PSO).

According to the researchers, the two models are described as hybrid algorithms because they combine a novel hybrid approach of adaptive swarm intelligence techniques and ANFIS in forecasting solar PV project power generation over time horizons ranging from 0 to 24 hours.

The models were designed and evaluated using climatic variables and historical PV power data from a 960 kW grid-connected PV system in south Italy. To assess the accuracy of the proposed models and the impact of variables on PV power values, several statistical analyses were conducted. At time horizons of 12 hours and 24 hours, the proposed ANFIS-APSO achieved the most accurate PV power forecast with R2 = 0.657 and 0.835, RMSE = 0.081 kW and 0.088 kW, and MAE = 0.079 kW and 0.077 kW , respectively.

The newly constructed ANFIS-APSO outperformed the standard ANFIS-PSO model, as well as other hybrid models, according to the findings. According to the findings, the model could be a promising new tool for engineers to use in forecasting the power generation of solar projects over short and long time horizons.

Renewable energy project developers face a difficult task in accurately forecasting power generation. To integrate renewable generation into the grid efficiently, utilities demand accurate forecasting and scheduling. Renewable energy forecasting technologies are in high demand from utilities as well as renewable energy generators.

Image Source

Two new machine learning-based models for forecasting the power generated by solar projects have been developed by researchers led by Dr Kalop of Urban Environmental Engineering and Professor Heo Jong-wan of Incheon National University in South Korea. The advanced models incorporating artificial intelligence, dubbed the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), efficiently forecast the power generated by photovoltaic systems up to a full day ahead of time. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews published the research paper. Integrating solar photovoltaic (PV) power into existing power grids is a difficult task because PV systems' power output is heavily influenced by environmental factors. According to the researchers, an accurate forecast of solar PV power generation is required for efficient power integration into existing power grids. The researchers combined two models with adaptive and time-varying acceleration coefficients: ANFIS and particle swarm optimization (PSO). According to the researchers, the two models are described as hybrid algorithms because they combine a novel hybrid approach of adaptive swarm intelligence techniques and ANFIS in forecasting solar PV project power generation over time horizons ranging from 0 to 24 hours. The models were designed and evaluated using climatic variables and historical PV power data from a 960 kW grid-connected PV system in south Italy. To assess the accuracy of the proposed models and the impact of variables on PV power values, several statistical analyses were conducted. At time horizons of 12 hours and 24 hours, the proposed ANFIS-APSO achieved the most accurate PV power forecast with R2 = 0.657 and 0.835, RMSE = 0.081 kW and 0.088 kW, and MAE = 0.079 kW and 0.077 kW , respectively. The newly constructed ANFIS-APSO outperformed the standard ANFIS-PSO model, as well as other hybrid models, according to the findings. According to the findings, the model could be a promising new tool for engineers to use in forecasting the power generation of solar projects over short and long time horizons. Renewable energy project developers face a difficult task in accurately forecasting power generation. To integrate renewable generation into the grid efficiently, utilities demand accurate forecasting and scheduling. Renewable energy forecasting technologies are in high demand from utilities as well as renewable energy generators. Image Source

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

3i Infotech Reports Rs 7.25 Bn Revenue for FY25

3i Infotech, a leading provider of digital transformation, technology services and technology solutions, announced its consolidated financial results for the fourth quarter and full year FY25, ended on March 31st, 2025. The company maintained its growth momentum, displaying consistent progress for the 3rd consecutive quarter.In Q4 FY25, 3i Infotech reported revenue of Rs 1.87 billion, reflecting steady performance compared to Rs 1.81 billion in Q3 FY25 and Rs 1.97 billion in Q4 FY24. The company delivered strong profitability improvements, with gross margin growing by 14.8 per cent Q-o-Q and 1..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Emerald Finance Joins Baya PTE to Boost SME Bill Discounting

Emerald Finance is a dynamic company offering a spectrum of financial products and services including its flagship Earned Wage Access (EWA) in India, has entered into a strategic partnership with Singapore-based Baya PTE through its Indian subsidiary. This collaboration aims to strengthen bill discounting services for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), enabling faster access to working capital and improved cash flow management.The initiative is designed to support SMEs that supply to large corporates such as JSW Steel, Delhivery, and PVR INOX, among others. By facilitating timely invoice dis..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

BLS E-Services Crosses Rs 5 Bn Revenue Mark in FY25

BLS E-Services, a technology-enabled digital service provider, announced its audited consolidated financial results for the quarter and full year period ended 31 March 2025.Speaking about the performance and recent updates, Shikhar Aggarwal, Chairman, BLS E- Services said, “We are delighted to report a remarkable performance in FY25, as we achieved several milestones during the fiscal year. FY25 marked our highest-ever financial performance, as we surpassed Rs 5 billion milestone in Total Income during the year, which was reported at Rs 5.45 billion, a notable YoY growth of 76 per cent. The ..

Advertisement

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Talk to us?