+
RBI projects 6.7% growth for FY'26 due to strong Rabi harvest and tax relief
ECONOMY & POLICY

RBI projects 6.7% growth for FY'26 due to strong Rabi harvest and tax relief

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has projected the growth rate for the upcoming financial year 2025-26 at 6.7 per cent, an increase from the estimated 6.4 per cent for the current fiscal year. The expected growth will be supported by favourable Rabi crop prospects and a recovery in industrial activity. Household consumption is anticipated to remain strong, bolstered by the tax relief measures announced in the Union Budget 2025-26. These measures include significant tax cuts for the middle class, designed to stimulate consumption after the economy experienced its slowest growth since the pandemic.

India's GDP growth slowed to a 7-quarter low of 5.4 per cent in the July-September period of the current fiscal year, below the RBI's projection of 7 per cent. The GDP growth rate of 6.4 per cent for 2024-25 will be the lowest since the pandemic year of 2020-21, when the economy contracted by 5.8 per cent. The economy had rebounded to 9.7 per cent growth in 2021-22, followed by 7 per cent in 2022-23, and 8.2 per cent in 2023-24.

The Union Budget introduced an increase in the personal income tax exemption limit, now set at Rs 1.2 million, up from Rs 0.7 million, along with tax bracket adjustments that could save high earners up to Rs 0.1 million. Fixed investment is expected to recover due to higher capacity utilisation, strong financial institutions, and continued government focus on capital expenditure. The RBI's growth projection for 2025-26 includes quarterly estimates of 6.7 per cent in Q1, 7.0 per cent in Q2, and 6.5 per cent in Q3 and Q4, with balanced risks.

The Economic Survey had earlier projected a GDP growth range of 6.3-6.8 per cent for 2025-26, supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals and prudent policy management. The GDP growth for the current year is estimated to reach a four-year low of 6.4 per cent, close to the decadal average.

News source: The Week

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has projected the growth rate for the upcoming financial year 2025-26 at 6.7 per cent, an increase from the estimated 6.4 per cent for the current fiscal year. The expected growth will be supported by favourable Rabi crop prospects and a recovery in industrial activity. Household consumption is anticipated to remain strong, bolstered by the tax relief measures announced in the Union Budget 2025-26. These measures include significant tax cuts for the middle class, designed to stimulate consumption after the economy experienced its slowest growth since the pandemic. India's GDP growth slowed to a 7-quarter low of 5.4 per cent in the July-September period of the current fiscal year, below the RBI's projection of 7 per cent. The GDP growth rate of 6.4 per cent for 2024-25 will be the lowest since the pandemic year of 2020-21, when the economy contracted by 5.8 per cent. The economy had rebounded to 9.7 per cent growth in 2021-22, followed by 7 per cent in 2022-23, and 8.2 per cent in 2023-24. The Union Budget introduced an increase in the personal income tax exemption limit, now set at Rs 1.2 million, up from Rs 0.7 million, along with tax bracket adjustments that could save high earners up to Rs 0.1 million. Fixed investment is expected to recover due to higher capacity utilisation, strong financial institutions, and continued government focus on capital expenditure. The RBI's growth projection for 2025-26 includes quarterly estimates of 6.7 per cent in Q1, 7.0 per cent in Q2, and 6.5 per cent in Q3 and Q4, with balanced risks. The Economic Survey had earlier projected a GDP growth range of 6.3-6.8 per cent for 2025-26, supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals and prudent policy management. The GDP growth for the current year is estimated to reach a four-year low of 6.4 per cent, close to the decadal average. News source: The Week

Related Stories

Gold Stories

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Mumbai-Ahmedabad Bullet Train’s Surat-Vapi Section Set for 2027

The first section of the Mumbai-Ahmedabad Bullet Train corridor, linking Surat and Vapi, is targeted to begin services in 2027. Construction is expected to be completed by December 2026, while Railway Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw has indicated that an inauguration could take place around the middle of 2027. The National High Speed Rail Corporation (NHSRCL) said the train being manufactured in India is expected to reach the tracks around April or May 2027. The train will undergo extensive testing before the section is opened for passenger services. The project began construction in 2021 and includ..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Indian Railways Approves Four Projects Worth Rs. 7.36 bn Across Four States

Indian Railways has approved four projects with a combined value of Rs. 7.36 bn across Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh and Gujarat. The programme covers train protection, signalling, electric traction supply and a road overbridge, with each project assigned to a different railway zone. In Uttar Pradesh, Rs. 2.52 bn has been approved to extend the Kavach 4.0 automatic train protection system across 607.7 km in the Lucknow Division of North Eastern Railway. The system monitors train movements and can apply the brakes if a driver fails to observe a signal or exceeds a safe speed. The w..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Chandru Raheja Sells 1.49% Stake in Mindspace REIT for Rs. 5 bn

Billionaire Chandru Lachmandas Raheja has sold a 1.49 per cent holding in Mindspace Business Parks REIT for Rs. 5 bn through a bulk deal on the BSE. The transaction involved 9.9 mn units and was executed at an average price of Rs. 505 per unit, according to exchange data. Following the sale, units of Mindspace Business Parks REIT were trading 0.18 per cent lower at Rs. 504.05 on Tuesday. Exchange data did not identify the buyers involved in the transaction. Raheja is the chairman of real estate company K Raheja Corp. The sale involved 99,00,990 units, representing 1.49 per cent of the Mumbai-b..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

SPECIAL OFFER
QR Code