+
India's Steel demand faces slowdown amid election delays, import surge
Steel

India's Steel demand faces slowdown amid election delays, import surge

India's steel demand is poised to decelerate in the upcoming financial year starting in March, attributed to the substantial disruptions caused by a massive general election. Analysts and industry leaders anticipate delays in government initiatives and infrastructure investments due to the electoral process.

India, ranking as the world's second-largest crude steel producer, experienced rapid growth in steel demand thanks to consistent government expenditure on infrastructure projects, positioning itself as one of the globally fastest-growing markets for the alloy, despite a slowdown in global demand.

Projections indicate that steel demand will witness a more moderate increase of 7%-10% in the fiscal year 2024-25, a slower pace compared to the anticipated growth of 11%-12% in the current year until March 2024, as outlined by industry experts and analysts.

With Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party vying for a third term in the forthcoming early 2024 general elections, the election process in India, known as the world's largest democratic exercise, spans weeks due to staggered voting.

Fitch Ratings forecasts a 9% rise in finished steel consumption in India for FY25, following a 12% increase in FY24. Despite this, India is expected to maintain its position as the primary global growth market for steel.

The construction sector, a pivotal driver of India's steel market, experienced robust growth, posting a 13.3% year-on-year expansion in the July-September quarter. However, analysts, such as Puneet Paliwal from London-based CRU Group, anticipate a slowdown in government capital expenditure-driven steel demand growth in 2024, particularly in the first half of the year.

Despite reaching a five-year high in finished steel consumption between April and October, India has witnessed a surge in steel imports, reaching a four-year peak. Industry officials have expressed concerns about higher raw material costs, and the combination of increased imports and slower demand is anticipated to exacerbate challenges faced by India's steel mills. The government, while acknowledging the rise in imports, has indicated a commitment to monitoring the situation.

India's steel demand is poised to decelerate in the upcoming financial year starting in March, attributed to the substantial disruptions caused by a massive general election. Analysts and industry leaders anticipate delays in government initiatives and infrastructure investments due to the electoral process. India, ranking as the world's second-largest crude steel producer, experienced rapid growth in steel demand thanks to consistent government expenditure on infrastructure projects, positioning itself as one of the globally fastest-growing markets for the alloy, despite a slowdown in global demand. Projections indicate that steel demand will witness a more moderate increase of 7%-10% in the fiscal year 2024-25, a slower pace compared to the anticipated growth of 11%-12% in the current year until March 2024, as outlined by industry experts and analysts. With Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party vying for a third term in the forthcoming early 2024 general elections, the election process in India, known as the world's largest democratic exercise, spans weeks due to staggered voting. Fitch Ratings forecasts a 9% rise in finished steel consumption in India for FY25, following a 12% increase in FY24. Despite this, India is expected to maintain its position as the primary global growth market for steel. The construction sector, a pivotal driver of India's steel market, experienced robust growth, posting a 13.3% year-on-year expansion in the July-September quarter. However, analysts, such as Puneet Paliwal from London-based CRU Group, anticipate a slowdown in government capital expenditure-driven steel demand growth in 2024, particularly in the first half of the year. Despite reaching a five-year high in finished steel consumption between April and October, India has witnessed a surge in steel imports, reaching a four-year peak. Industry officials have expressed concerns about higher raw material costs, and the combination of increased imports and slower demand is anticipated to exacerbate challenges faced by India's steel mills. The government, while acknowledging the rise in imports, has indicated a commitment to monitoring the situation.

Related Stories

Gold Stories

Next Story
Real Estate

Glass, Reframed!

Glass façades, quintessential aesthetic building envelopes globally, have been widely adopted in India as well. But when the focus is high-performance building systems that deliver energy efficiency, comfort and architectural identity, glass isn’t the only preference. Combination solutions, involving glass and some other material, improve façade outcomes. Some combinations come at comparable prices, some at a higher price. Here is a selection of performance-oriented solutions...To read the full story Click Here ..

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Beyond Building Faster

India’s cities are expanding at an unprecedented pace, bringing new infrastructure and development opportunities while also intensifying challenges around mobility, public spaces, liveability and supporting infrastructure. The question, therefore, is not simply whether India can build faster, but whether it can build cities that work better.At a CW webinar, Are We Designing Better Cities – or Just Building Faster?, moderator Ar. Samir Shaikh, Founding Principal, AR&UD Studio, brought together perspectives from design, development, master planning and technology...To read the full artic..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Risk is the Roadblock

For an industry often described as capital-intensive, India’s roads and highways sector faces an interesting paradox: Capital is available, but not every form of capital is willing to take every kind of risk.The discussion on Financing Roads & Highways in a Capital-Constrained Era, moderated by Suneet K Maheshwari, Managing Partner, Udvik Infra, and Independent Board Director, brought together Pratik Panwala, Vice President, Investments, NIIFL; Vishal Gupta, Senior Vice President - PA&SF, SBI Capital Markets; Sandeep Upadhyay, Managing Director - Infrastructure Advisory, Centrum Capi..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

SPECIAL OFFER
QR Code