+
India's Steel demand faces slowdown amid election delays, import surge
Steel

India's Steel demand faces slowdown amid election delays, import surge

India's steel demand is poised to decelerate in the upcoming financial year starting in March, attributed to the substantial disruptions caused by a massive general election. Analysts and industry leaders anticipate delays in government initiatives and infrastructure investments due to the electoral process.

India, ranking as the world's second-largest crude steel producer, experienced rapid growth in steel demand thanks to consistent government expenditure on infrastructure projects, positioning itself as one of the globally fastest-growing markets for the alloy, despite a slowdown in global demand.

Projections indicate that steel demand will witness a more moderate increase of 7%-10% in the fiscal year 2024-25, a slower pace compared to the anticipated growth of 11%-12% in the current year until March 2024, as outlined by industry experts and analysts.

With Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party vying for a third term in the forthcoming early 2024 general elections, the election process in India, known as the world's largest democratic exercise, spans weeks due to staggered voting.

Fitch Ratings forecasts a 9% rise in finished steel consumption in India for FY25, following a 12% increase in FY24. Despite this, India is expected to maintain its position as the primary global growth market for steel.

The construction sector, a pivotal driver of India's steel market, experienced robust growth, posting a 13.3% year-on-year expansion in the July-September quarter. However, analysts, such as Puneet Paliwal from London-based CRU Group, anticipate a slowdown in government capital expenditure-driven steel demand growth in 2024, particularly in the first half of the year.

Despite reaching a five-year high in finished steel consumption between April and October, India has witnessed a surge in steel imports, reaching a four-year peak. Industry officials have expressed concerns about higher raw material costs, and the combination of increased imports and slower demand is anticipated to exacerbate challenges faced by India's steel mills. The government, while acknowledging the rise in imports, has indicated a commitment to monitoring the situation.

India's steel demand is poised to decelerate in the upcoming financial year starting in March, attributed to the substantial disruptions caused by a massive general election. Analysts and industry leaders anticipate delays in government initiatives and infrastructure investments due to the electoral process. India, ranking as the world's second-largest crude steel producer, experienced rapid growth in steel demand thanks to consistent government expenditure on infrastructure projects, positioning itself as one of the globally fastest-growing markets for the alloy, despite a slowdown in global demand. Projections indicate that steel demand will witness a more moderate increase of 7%-10% in the fiscal year 2024-25, a slower pace compared to the anticipated growth of 11%-12% in the current year until March 2024, as outlined by industry experts and analysts. With Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party vying for a third term in the forthcoming early 2024 general elections, the election process in India, known as the world's largest democratic exercise, spans weeks due to staggered voting. Fitch Ratings forecasts a 9% rise in finished steel consumption in India for FY25, following a 12% increase in FY24. Despite this, India is expected to maintain its position as the primary global growth market for steel. The construction sector, a pivotal driver of India's steel market, experienced robust growth, posting a 13.3% year-on-year expansion in the July-September quarter. However, analysts, such as Puneet Paliwal from London-based CRU Group, anticipate a slowdown in government capital expenditure-driven steel demand growth in 2024, particularly in the first half of the year. Despite reaching a five-year high in finished steel consumption between April and October, India has witnessed a surge in steel imports, reaching a four-year peak. Industry officials have expressed concerns about higher raw material costs, and the combination of increased imports and slower demand is anticipated to exacerbate challenges faced by India's steel mills. The government, while acknowledging the rise in imports, has indicated a commitment to monitoring the situation.

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Naidu Seeks Rs 563 Crore For AP Sports Infrastructure

Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu has sought Rs 563 crore from the Centre to boost sports infrastructure in the state, including Rs 538 crore for stadium development and Rs 25 crore to host the Khelo India Martial Arts Games 2025. Naidu made the request during a meeting with Union Youth Services and Sports Minister Mansukh Mandaviya in New Delhi on Wednesday.The CM urged early completion of Khelo India infrastructure projects in Tirupati, Rajahmundry, Kakinada, and Narasaraopeta, and called for an international-standard badminton training centre and a national aquatic sports hu..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Tough Bidding Norms Slow NHAI Road Project Awards

Stringent bidding rules imposed by the Ministry of Road Transport & Highways (MoRTH) have led to a slowdown in project awards by the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI), despite a robust Rs 3.5 trillion pipeline. According to an HDFC Securities report, the shift to more cautious developer models now favours firms with strong balance sheets, as tighter qualification norms limit aggressive bidders.The revised norms mandate additional performance security, targeting the exclusion of players that previously submitted low bids—often 25 to 40 per cent below NHAI cost estimates—raisin..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Mumbai Gets Coastal Nod for Next Promenade Phase

As Mumbai prepares to open two major sections of its expansive seafront promenade this week, the city’s civic authority has secured a key coastal clearance to advance further construction. The Maharashtra Coastal Zone Management Authority (MCZMA) has approved the commencement of work on the segment between Haji Ali and Baroda Palace, with tendering expected soon after project cost assessments.The promenade, stretching 7.5 km in length and 20 metres wide, is being designed as a flagship open space for walkers, joggers, and cyclists. Two critical stretches—2.75 km from Tata Garden to Haji Al..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Talk to us?