Toll collections to grow 10-11% in FY22 despite Covid: Care Ratings
ROADS & HIGHWAYS

Toll collections to grow 10-11% in FY22 despite Covid: Care Ratings

Care Ratings expects overall growth in toll collection of around 10-11% in FY22 on the low base of FY21 factoring in the prevailing Covid situation. This is in-spite of expectations of degrowth in toll collections by 20% in the first two months of FY22 as compared to last year.

A recent study by Care Ratings pointed out that Care Ratings’ investment grade toll road portfolio is likely to deliver a stable credit performance, despite Covid. 47 out of 56 Care rated investment grade operational projects are likely to be stable from credit perspective, despite possible shocks of traffic disruption. This is on account of resilient toll collections, adequate debt coverage indicators and presence of liquidity buffers. For these projects, Care Ratings expects a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of at least 1.10 times for FY22, coupled with a liquidity reserve equivalent to one quarter of debt servicing amount. Balance nine projects are likely to be supported with need-based liquidity backup from the sponsors.

Toll Collections: Change in axle norms, traffic leakages to alternate routes and Covid-19 outbreak in March 2020 led to minor year-on-year (Y-o-Y) degrowth of 2.5% during FY20. In a bid to evaluate the overall sector performance during FY21, for operating toll roads in particular, Care Ratings assessed performance of 105 toll road projects (including rated by Care Ratings) admeasuring 38,000 km spanning across 15 states.


Toll revenues witnessed Y-o-Y degrowth of 10.23% in 9MFY21 as against 9MFY20 on account of the severe impact of lockdown during Q1FY21. The strong recovery in toll collections from Q3FY21 is likely to restrict the decline to 5.50% on Y-o-Y basis as against earlier expectations of over 20% degrowth for FY21.

With the onset of the second wave of Covid-19 and stringent guidelines announced by some states, passenger vehicular traffic is expected to witness a decline again in Q1FY22 after reaching closer to pre-covid levels in Q4FY21. Nevertheless, electricity consumption and Goods and Services Tax (GST) e-way bill collections, which are proxy for economic activity and movement of goods, have remained higher than Q1FY21 levels.

Read the full Care Ratings report here

Care Ratings expects overall growth in toll collection of around 10-11% in FY22 on the low base of FY21 factoring in the prevailing Covid situation. This is in-spite of expectations of degrowth in toll collections by 20% in the first two months of FY22 as compared to last year. A recent study by Care Ratings pointed out that Care Ratings’ investment grade toll road portfolio is likely to deliver a stable credit performance, despite Covid. 47 out of 56 Care rated investment grade operational projects are likely to be stable from credit perspective, despite possible shocks of traffic disruption. This is on account of resilient toll collections, adequate debt coverage indicators and presence of liquidity buffers. For these projects, Care Ratings expects a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of at least 1.10 times for FY22, coupled with a liquidity reserve equivalent to one quarter of debt servicing amount. Balance nine projects are likely to be supported with need-based liquidity backup from the sponsors. Toll Collections: Change in axle norms, traffic leakages to alternate routes and Covid-19 outbreak in March 2020 led to minor year-on-year (Y-o-Y) degrowth of 2.5% during FY20. In a bid to evaluate the overall sector performance during FY21, for operating toll roads in particular, Care Ratings assessed performance of 105 toll road projects (including rated by Care Ratings) admeasuring 38,000 km spanning across 15 states. Toll revenues witnessed Y-o-Y degrowth of 10.23% in 9MFY21 as against 9MFY20 on account of the severe impact of lockdown during Q1FY21. The strong recovery in toll collections from Q3FY21 is likely to restrict the decline to 5.50% on Y-o-Y basis as against earlier expectations of over 20% degrowth for FY21. With the onset of the second wave of Covid-19 and stringent guidelines announced by some states, passenger vehicular traffic is expected to witness a decline again in Q1FY22 after reaching closer to pre-covid levels in Q4FY21. Nevertheless, electricity consumption and Goods and Services Tax (GST) e-way bill collections, which are proxy for economic activity and movement of goods, have remained higher than Q1FY21 levels.Read the full Care Ratings report here

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Mumbai-Ahmedabad Bullet Train Set to Launch by 2028

India’s first bullet train is set to revolutionize high-speed travel along the western corridor, with the Mumbai-Ahmedabad high-speed rail project aiming for a 2028 launch. This announcement marks a major milestone in India’s infrastructure goals, as it promises to reduce travel time between the two economic hubs from eight hours to just three.Spanning a planned 508-kilometre stretch, the corridor stands as a flagship example of Indo-Japanese collaboration in technology and engineering. Once operational, the train is expected to transform intercity mobility and place India among the select..

Next Story
Infrastructure Transport

Mumbai-Gandhinagar Train Service Enhances Passenger Capacity

The Mumbai Central–Gandhinagar Capital Vande Bharat Express has increased its passenger capacity by adding four additional AC chair car coaches to meet the growing commuter demand on one of India’s busiest business corridors. This upgrade, effective from 11 May, raised the train’s seating capacity from 1,128 to 1,440 passengers, allowing it to serve 936 more passengers daily in both directions. The increase was described as a practical measure to accommodate the surging demand on the busy Mumbai–Ahmedabad–Gandhinagar route, which regularly operates at over 150 percent seat occupancy...

Next Story
Infrastructure Urban

Delhi Plans 12 Sewage Plants to Clean Najafgarh Drain Efficiently

Delhi’s ambitious plan to improve the water quality of the Yamuna River has gained significant momentum as the Delhi Jal Board (DJB) has begun work on 12 new sewage treatment plants (STPs) aimed at reducing the volume of untreated sewage being discharged from the Najafgarh Drain.This initiative forms part of the ongoing efforts to clean the Yamuna and restore the river’s health, which has long been a critical environmental issue for the national capital. Given the alarming pollution levels in the Yamuna, experts and officials consider this project a vital step toward addressing the persist..

Advertisement

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Talk to us?