Housing Sales-to-Supply Ratio Rises to 1.36
Amidst controlled new housing launches, the residential sales-to-supply ratio has improved to 1.36 currently, as ag.. September 2020
Construction World conducted another successful webinar on ‘The Real Estate Challenge’ , powered by JSW Cement , which witnessed great success with over 600 attendees tuning in to hear what our esteemed panellists have to say on India’s way forward in real estate.
The webinar began with presenter Pratap Padode, Editor-in-Chief, Construction World and President, FIRST Construction Council, welcoming the guest panellists to the session. The panellists included industry stalwarts – MR Jaishankar, Chairman & Managing Director, Brigade Group; Sangeeta Prasad, Managing Director & CEO, Mahindra Lifespaces; Ramesh Nair, CEO & Country Head, JLL India; and Dhruv Agarwala, Group CEO - PropTiger.com, Housing.com, Makaan.com.
Speaking on how this package has that turned out, said Ramesh Nair, CEO & Country Head, JLL India, “Approximately 4.5 lakh units have been stalled. In terms of the rescue package, the government has done a good job and has also started disbursing the amount. However, the government also needs to start looking at a one-time settlement, like we did in 2008. Second is to have a subsidy like we have one for affordable housing projects. Thirdly, in terms of the Alternate Investment Fund (AIF), even private players should be allowed for the last mile funding. I think then there will be a lot more capital coming in and lesser stalled projects.”
Commenting on interest rates for real estate, said MR Jaishankar, Chairman & Managing Director, Brigade Group, “As far as business is concerned for real estate developers, the rates will not change because it is related to NCLR rates. For the developer to get benefits, it depends on the banks and institutions. Banks should reduce interest rates – it is much required. Last year has been good for us at Brigade – in residential sales, leasing, hotels as well as retail malls. We have seen a 60-per-cent jump in our sales in FY2020 as compared to FY2019. We are primarily focused on south India and we need to see what the coming year is going to be.”
Adding further, said Sangeeta Prasad, Managing Director & CEO, Mahindra Lifespaces, “The last few years have shown us that the market is determined by customers and not by us developers. Buyer confidence is not only based on pricing, it is also based on market macro economics. Residential prices have largely remained flat. Some states have done corrections in Ready Reckoner prices. But let’s also look at the supply chain level. The prices in making a house, a building has not gone down. So, there are many more levers required other than just pricing.”
Further added Nair, “If you look at 2009-10, it was a sellers’ market. Today, it is a buyers’ market. In 2008-09 the products were largely two-bedroom, three-bedroom; today, everyone is building what the market wants. Although there has been a market crisis in real estate for the past five years, and now with COVID-19, I am still bullish; although I don’t see prices correcting by 25-30 per cent.”
In agreement, added Jaishankar, “It is only wishful thinking to expect a 30-per-cent drop in prices. It may only happen in Delhi-NCR and some parts of Mumbai. While GST and RERA are welcome steps, it has had an impact on developers – developers have seen inflation, we are in single-digit profits. Going forward, we don’t know what the situation is going to be. In fact, we were going to increase the prices in April, but now we have to look into it.”
In complete agreement on the recommencement of construction, added Jaishankar, “We developers are willing to restart work. At Brigade, we have 9,500 workmen at various project sites. We don’t know after the lockdown is lifted how many will go back to their villages, so we will have to see what happens. November to April is called the golden period of construction, and this time we have already lost one and a half months of it. Also, the supply chain is equally important – we need to get steel and various other materials. In that sense, about 70-80 per cent sectors need to be working because construction is a sector where so many sectors are related to it. So we also need to look at the supply side.”
Home is our safe haven, added Prasad. “Our home is also going to contribute to what you do. The way the home will be designed post-COVID – considering I need my personal space, my family space and my professional space – will be so different. The use of technology and design will be required. Take for instance, the balcony in home – which had become so costly to include in a development because of FSI, will now be thought of differently – because now you would want to go and look out at your balcony during a lockdown like this. So, the office-home juxtaposition will determine how a space design will shape up post-COVID.”
Speaking about working from home, Jaishankar believes that while he does not mind working from home one day a week after the lockdown, “life is not only about working!” he exclaimed. “We are social animals – we need to interact with colleagues, one also learns a lot when interacting with people. I believe after the lockdown is lifted, 100 per cent of the people will move to office. If my engineers work from home, my sites will not work!”
On a concluding note, Padode thanked the esteemed panellists for being part of this extremely successful webinar on the subject.
Also check our webinar on ‘The Architect Challenge’ here.
Also check our webinar on ‘Infrastructure: National Infrastructure Pipeline – the Rs 102 trillion opportunity’ here.
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