India’s power demand to rise 6% in FY22: ICRA
POWER & RENEWABLE ENERGY

India’s power demand to rise 6% in FY22: ICRA

Demand for electricity in India is expected to increase by 6% in 2021-22 compared to the previous fiscal year, according to rating agency ICRA.

It has also forecasted a 17- 18 GW increase in power generation capacity for the current fiscal year.

In addition, ICRA expects all-India power generation capacity additions to rebound to 17-18 GW this year, up 45% YoY from 12.8 GW in 2020-21, with the renewable energy (RE) segment leading the way with a strong pipeline of 38 GW projects under development.

Over the next five years, the renewable energy segment will continue to be the primary driver of capacity addition, accounting for more than 60% of total capacity addition.

Despite an expected improvement from 54.5% in 2020-21 due to higher electricity demand, the thermal PLF is expected to remain subdued at 57.0% in 2021-22.

While certain thermal independent power producers (IPPs) have improved their liquidity position as a result of large payments made under the liquidity support scheme in March 2021, the sustainability of the scheme remains to be seen given the continued weakness in discom finances.

The presence of long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) under the cost-plus tariff structure, as well as strengths arising from sovereign parentage, support the credit profile of central thermal power generation utilities.

The impact of Covid-19 on electricity demand and collections in 2020-21 has amplified this effect.

While demand is expected to recover this fiscal year, the discom finances are expected to remain under pressure due to a lack of or inadequacy of tariff revisions, high distribution losses, and rising subsidy dependence.

The median tariff revision for 2021-22, based on tariff orders issued so far, is less than 1%, and discoms' subsidy dependence for the year is estimated to be Rs. 1.3 lakh crore across India.

Furthermore, the total debt on the books of state-owned utilities in India is expected to reach close to Rs 6 lakh crore in 2021-22.

The government recently approved a new scheme to revitalise the distribution sector, with a total investment of Rs. 3.03 lakh crore. The scheme includes smart metering, distribution infrastructure upgrades, and solarization of agriculture feeders.

ICRA's outlook for the RE sector is also stable, owing to factors such as the government's continued policy support, large growth potential, the presence of creditworthy central nodal agencies as intermediary procurers, and tariff competitiveness.

The transmission segment's outlook is stable, thanks to availability-linked payments and the timely payment realisation for interstate projects, thanks to the central transmission utility's billing and collections.

Image Source


Also read: DERC asks govt to deallocate power from Dadri-I plant for Delhi

Demand for electricity in India is expected to increase by 6% in 2021-22 compared to the previous fiscal year, according to rating agency ICRA. It has also forecasted a 17- 18 GW increase in power generation capacity for the current fiscal year. In addition, ICRA expects all-India power generation capacity additions to rebound to 17-18 GW this year, up 45% YoY from 12.8 GW in 2020-21, with the renewable energy (RE) segment leading the way with a strong pipeline of 38 GW projects under development. Over the next five years, the renewable energy segment will continue to be the primary driver of capacity addition, accounting for more than 60% of total capacity addition. Despite an expected improvement from 54.5% in 2020-21 due to higher electricity demand, the thermal PLF is expected to remain subdued at 57.0% in 2021-22. While certain thermal independent power producers (IPPs) have improved their liquidity position as a result of large payments made under the liquidity support scheme in March 2021, the sustainability of the scheme remains to be seen given the continued weakness in discom finances. The presence of long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) under the cost-plus tariff structure, as well as strengths arising from sovereign parentage, support the credit profile of central thermal power generation utilities. The impact of Covid-19 on electricity demand and collections in 2020-21 has amplified this effect. While demand is expected to recover this fiscal year, the discom finances are expected to remain under pressure due to a lack of or inadequacy of tariff revisions, high distribution losses, and rising subsidy dependence. The median tariff revision for 2021-22, based on tariff orders issued so far, is less than 1%, and discoms' subsidy dependence for the year is estimated to be Rs. 1.3 lakh crore across India. Furthermore, the total debt on the books of state-owned utilities in India is expected to reach close to Rs 6 lakh crore in 2021-22. The government recently approved a new scheme to revitalise the distribution sector, with a total investment of Rs. 3.03 lakh crore. The scheme includes smart metering, distribution infrastructure upgrades, and solarization of agriculture feeders. ICRA's outlook for the RE sector is also stable, owing to factors such as the government's continued policy support, large growth potential, the presence of creditworthy central nodal agencies as intermediary procurers, and tariff competitiveness. The transmission segment's outlook is stable, thanks to availability-linked payments and the timely payment realisation for interstate projects, thanks to the central transmission utility's billing and collections. Image Source Also read: DERC asks govt to deallocate power from Dadri-I plant for Delhi

Next Story
Infrastructure Energy

World Must Boost Renewables Fivefold by 2030: IEC Chief

The world needs to expand renewable energy capacity fivefold to 11,000 GW by 2030, International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) President Jo Cops said on Monday, as experts from over 100 countries gathered in New Delhi for the IEC’s 89th General Meeting.Cops emphasised that solar panels manufactured to international standards must work reliably across geographies, while grid interconnections should follow universal protocols, forming a shared technical language to drive sustainability.Consumer Affairs Secretary Nidhi Khare described the event as a “historic occasion” that brings toget..

Next Story
Infrastructure Energy

Suzlon Wins 838 MW Wind Project From Tata Power

Suzlon Group has bagged an 838 MW order from Tata Power Renewable Energy Ltd (TPREL), a subsidiary of Tata Power, marking its largest order in FY26 and the second-largest in its history after the 1,544 MW deal with NTPC Green Energy Ltd.The project will see the installation of 266 of Suzlon’s S144 wind turbines, each with a rated capacity of 3.15 MW. These will be spread across Karnataka (302 MW), Maharashtra (271 MW), and Tamil Nadu (265 MW), forming part of the FDRE bids awarded to SJVN and NTPC.Girish Tanti, Vice Chairman of Suzlon Group, highlighted that this third repeat order from Tata..

Next Story
Infrastructure Energy

Avaada Commissions 11 Solar Projects In Maharashtra

Avaada Group has commissioned 11 solar power projects in Yavatmal district, Maharashtra, under the Mukhyamantri Saur Krushi Vahini Yojana (MSKVY) 2.0 to deliver reliable daytime power for irrigation and strengthen the state’s clean energy transition.The projects include a 4 MW plant at Kinhi, 3 MW each at Baldi and Dongarkharda, 2 MW each at Bansi and Patan, a 5 MW facility at Mhasola, 2 MW at Galwa, 4 MW each at Pathrad and Parjana, and 3 MW each at Sawargaon and Sarfali. Together, these are expected to benefit nearly 14,900 farmers across 167 villages by improving irrigation facilities, re..

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Talk to us?